产业转移、产业集聚和产业结构转型升级三者相互关联、相互影响，产业转移促进了产业集聚的形成，产业集聚又进一步推动了产业结构的转型升级，而产业结构转型升级也为产业转移和产业集聚提供了更加有利的环境和机遇。三者相互作用，共同推动者经济的发展和产业发展格局的演变。中国经济已经进入新发展阶段，需要依靠产业升级和创新驱动来提高经济增长的质量和效益，通过调整产业结构，加大对高技术产业等高附加值和新兴产业的支持和培育，以推动经济转型升级，实现经济增长的质量变革。本研究从不同的维度对产业结构的动态变迁、产业转移以及产业集聚问题做了理论与实证相结合的研究。本文首先集中讨论最终需求结构的变迁是如何影响中国产业结构动态演进的，通过构建一个理论模型来刻画需求结构变迁影响产业结构演进的经济机制，并基于非竞争投入产出表构建产业结构变动的LMDI因素分解模型，实证分析了需求结构不同分解项的变化对中国产业结构变动的影响；随后，本研究提出了一种新的测算产业转移的方法，研究了中国产业转移的现状，分析了中国区域间的产业转移路径以及全球主要经济体间产业转移路径的问题；最后，本文又聚焦在产业集聚的问题，运用衡量产业集聚程度的EG指数测算了我国单一产业集聚和多产业协同集聚的现状和趋势，并对产业转移与产业集聚的影响效应做了实证分析，同时还探究了产业集聚对企业生产效率的影响。研究发现，无论是周期的长短，只有“需求模式”变动带动的产业结构的变动方向与三次产业结构实际变动的方向完全一致，表明两类最终需求结构的变化是中国产业结构变化最为重要的影响因素，而在两类需求结构中，各最终需求项产业构成的变动对产业结构变动的影响力要比最终需求结构变动的影响力更大一些。中国区域间的产业转移有明显的分阶段和分区域特征；发达国家对于关系到国家粮食安全、能源安全的产业以及高技术制造业有回流趋势，且其低端制造业跨国转移的目的地也在逐渐向东南亚偏移。产业集聚方面，随着时间的推进行业集聚程度增加、产业链上具有上下游投入产出关系的行业集聚的可能性更大，但在一些能源资源类行业可能并不遵循一般规律；产业转入对当地的产业集聚有促进作用，但不同行业之间存在明显的异质性。除此之外，产业集聚并不会给企业生产效率带来绝对的增加，要结合区域经济发展水平、创新环境等因素综合考虑。
Industrial transfer, industrial agglomeration and industrial structure transformation and upgrading are interrelated and influence each other. Industrial transfer promotes the formation of industrial agglomeration, and industrial agglomeration further promotes the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure. The transformation and upgrading of industrial structure also provides opportunities for industrial transfer and industrial structure transformation. Agglomeration provides a more favorable environment and opportunities. The three interact with each other to jointly promote economic development and the evolution of the industrial development pattern. China‘s economy has entered a new stage of development. It needs to rely on industrial upgrading and innovation-driven development to improve the quality and efficiency of economic growth. By adjusting the industrial structure, it will increase support and cultivation of high-value-added and emerging industries such as high-tech industries to promote the economy. Transform and upgrade to achieve qualitative changes in economic growth.This study combines theoretical and empirical research on the dynamic changes of industrial structure, industrial transfer and industrial agglomeration from different dimensions. This article first focuses on how the changes in the final demand structure affect the dynamic evolution of China‘s industrial structure. It constructs a theoretical model to describe the economic mechanism by which changes in the demand structure affect the evolution of the industrial structure, and constructs a model of industrial structure changes based on the non-competitive input-output table. The LMDI factor decomposition model empirically analyzes the impact of changes in different decomposition items of demand structure on changes in China‘s industrial structure. Subsequently, this study proposes a new method for measuring industrial transfer, studies the current status of China‘s industrial transfer, and analyzes China‘s industrial transfer. The issues of inter-regional industrial transfer paths and industrial transfer paths between major global economies; finally, this article focuses on the issue of industrial agglomeration, using the EG index that measures the degree of industrial agglomeration to measure the current status of single industry agglomeration and multi-industry collaborative agglomeration in my country and trends, and made an empirical analysis of the impact of industrial transfer and industrial agglomeration, and also explored the impact of industrial agglomeration on enterprise production efficiency.The study found that regardless of the length of the cycle, only the direction of changes in the industrial structure driven by changes in ‘demand patterns’ was completely consistent with the actual changes in the three industrial structures, indicating that changes in the two types of final demand structures are the most important impact of changes in China‘s industrial structure. factors, and among the two types of demand structures, changes in the industrial composition of each final demand item have a greater impact on changes in the industrial structure than changes in the final demand structure. China‘s inter-regional industrial transfer has obvious phased and sub-regional characteristics; developed countries have a tendency to return to industries related to national food security and energy security, as well as high-tech manufacturing, and the destinations of their low-end manufacturing industries for cross-border transfers are also Gradually moving towards Southeast Asia. In terms of industrial agglomeration, as time goes by, the degree of industry agglomeration increases, and industries with upstream and downstream input-output relationships in the industrial chain are more likely to agglomerate. However, in some energy and resource industries, general rules may not be followed; industry transfer It has a promoting effect on local industrial agglomeration, but there is obvious heterogeneity between different industries. In addition, industrial agglomeration will not bring an absolute increase in enterprise production efficiency. It must be considered comprehensively based on factors such as regional economic development level and innovation environment.
